{"id":48560,"date":"2026-09-28T07:37:57","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:37:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/?p=48560"},"modified":"2026-09-28T07:43:13","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T07:43:13","slug":"uae-weather-turns-cooler-as-temperatures-dip-to-18-6c-with-autumns-arrival","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/28\/uae-weather-turns-cooler-as-temperatures-dip-to-18-6c-with-autumns-arrival\/","title":{"rendered":"UAE Weather Turns Cooler as Temperatures Dip to 18.6\u00b0C With Autumn’s Arrival."},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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The cooler temperatures coincide with the arrival of autumn, as the seasonal transition officially began with the autumn equinox on September 23, bringing residents the first noticeable indications of milder conditions after the intense heat of summer.<\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t
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UAE sees cooler mornings as autumn weather settles in<\/h2>

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The UAE is beginning to experience the first noticeable signs of the changing season, with early-morning temperatures falling below 20\u00b0C in some parts of the country.<\/p>

According to the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM), the country’s lowest temperature on Monday, September 28, was recorded at 18.6\u00b0C in Raknah, Al Ain. The reading was registered at around 6am, highlighting the gradual shift towards cooler conditions across the Emirates.<\/p>

Although daytime temperatures remain relatively warm, the decline in overnight and early-morning readings signals the beginning of the transition away from the intense heat of summer.<\/p>

For residents, the cooler mornings are likely to become increasingly noticeable as autumn progresses, with temperatures expected to decline gradually over the coming weeks.<\/p>

Autumn transition begins<\/h2>

The latest temperature drop comes shortly after the UAE entered the astronomical autumn season.<\/p>

The autumnal equinox took place on September 23, marking the official end of summer in the astronomical calendar and the beginning of autumn in the Northern Hemisphere.<\/p>

During the equinox, day and night are approximately equal in length. Following this point, temperatures in the UAE generally begin a gradual decline as the country moves towards the cooler months.<\/p>

The latest reading in Al Ain is not the first indication of the seasonal change.<\/p>

Earlier in September, the UAE recorded a minimum temperature of 18.8\u00b0C on September 18. That reading came only a few days before the autumnal equinox and provided an early indication that cooler mornings were beginning to arrive.<\/p>

Despite these lower temperatures, residents should not expect an immediate end to the heat.<\/p>

The UAE’s autumn season begins while daytime conditions can still be relatively hot, and the transition towards winter typically takes place over several weeks.<\/p>

Temperatures expected to fall gradually<\/h2>

The change in weather is expected to become more pronounced as autumn advances.<\/p>

At the beginning of the season, temperatures can still reach highs of around 39\u00b0C, while lows may fall to approximately 26\u00b0C.<\/p>

As the season moves towards its middle stage, conditions are expected to become noticeably cooler. Around the beginning of November, temperatures could reach maximum levels of approximately 31\u00b0C, while overnight lows may drop to around 18\u00b0C.<\/p>

By the latter part of autumn, the decline becomes even more apparent.<\/p>

Temperatures are expected to reach highs of around 25\u00b0C and could fall to approximately 13\u00b0C at their lowest.<\/p>

This period will coincide with the winter solstice on December 22, when the Northern Hemisphere experiences its shortest day and longest night of the year.<\/p>

The changing temperatures mean residents can expect a gradual progression from warm autumn afternoons to significantly cooler mornings and evenings as winter approaches.<\/p>

Cooler mornings bring increased fog risk<\/h2>

The drop in temperature is not the only weather change residents can expect during autumn.<\/p>

The season also typically brings an increased possibility of fog, particularly during the early hours of the morning.<\/p>

Fog can develop when humid air close to the surface cools sufficiently for moisture to condense. The conditions can be more noticeable during the cooler months, particularly when humidity levels are elevated.<\/p>

The first half of autumn can therefore bring more frequent episodes of early-morning fog in parts of the UAE.<\/p>

For motorists, reduced visibility can make driving conditions more challenging, particularly during the early morning commute.<\/p>

Residents travelling between emirates or heading out before sunrise may therefore encounter changing visibility as temperatures fall and humidity increases.<\/p>

Humidity expected to rise<\/h2>

Humidity is also expected to become a more prominent feature of the weather as the UAE moves deeper into autumn.<\/p>

Although temperatures are declining, moisture levels can remain relatively high, particularly overnight and during the early morning.<\/p>

The combination of cooler temperatures and increased humidity can contribute to the formation of fog in areas where atmospheric conditions are suitable.<\/p>

The weather pattern is familiar to residents who have spent previous autumn and winter seasons in the UAE.<\/p>

While afternoons may remain warm at the start of the season, early mornings can gradually become more comfortable as temperatures continue to fall.<\/p>

Winter is gradually approaching<\/h2>

For people living in the UAE, the latest temperature readings provide an indication that the country’s cooler season is approaching.<\/p>

However, the transition is unlikely to happen overnight.<\/p>

The first part of autumn will continue to feature plenty of warmth, particularly during the afternoon. The more significant drop in temperatures is expected later in the season.<\/p>

By November and December, residents can expect increasingly pleasant daytime weather, cooler evenings and lower overnight temperatures.<\/p>

The eventual arrival of winter will bring the conditions many residents look forward to after the prolonged summer heat.<\/p>

Outdoor activities are also expected to become more comfortable as temperatures moderate.<\/p>

More rainfall possible from October<\/h2>

The seasonal change could also bring a wetter period for the UAE.<\/p>

As the country enters the cooler part of the year, rainfall may become more frequent between October and January.<\/p>

Ahmed Habib, a meteorologist at the National Centre of Meteorology, told INSIDER 18 that some weather models are indicating the possibility of rainfall above the seasonal average during the coming months.<\/p>

According to Habib, the potential for higher-than-average rainfall extends from October and November through January.<\/p>

However, he stressed that the exact amount of rain cannot be determined with certainty this far in advance.<\/p>

Weather forecasting models can provide indications of broader trends, but actual rainfall totals can vary significantly depending on atmospheric conditions closer to the time.<\/p>

Forecasts point to wetter months<\/h2>

The possibility of increased rainfall will be closely watched as the UAE moves into its traditionally cooler season.<\/p>

October marks an important transition period, when temperatures begin to decline and the country can experience more favourable conditions for rainfall.<\/p>

November and December can also bring occasional rain-producing weather systems, while January remains part of the UAE’s cooler period.<\/p>

The latest forecast outlook therefore suggests that residents could experience a combination of lower temperatures, increased humidity, foggy mornings and potentially more rainfall over the coming months.<\/p>

However, the distribution of rainfall will not necessarily be uniform across the country.<\/p>

Some areas may receive more precipitation than others depending on the weather systems that develop.<\/p>

El Ni\u00f1o attracts attention<\/h2>

The rainfall outlook has also generated interest because of the presence of El Ni\u00f1o, a naturally occurring climate phenomenon associated with warmer-than-usual surface waters in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.<\/p>

El Ni\u00f1o can influence atmospheric circulation and weather patterns in different parts of the world.<\/p>

Its effects can extend well beyond the Pacific region, potentially affecting temperature and precipitation patterns in various countries.<\/p>

However, the existence of El Ni\u00f1o alone does not mean that a particular country will automatically experience extreme weather.<\/p>

The relationship between the climate phenomenon and local weather is complicated and depends on several other atmospheric and regional factors.<\/p>

Climate pattern does not guarantee extreme weather<\/h3>

The NCM’s clarification is important because seasonal climate patterns should not be interpreted as direct predictions of specific weather events.<\/p>

While El Ni\u00f1o can influence large-scale atmospheric conditions, it does not determine exactly how much rain a particular location will receive.<\/p>

Local weather depends on numerous variables, including atmospheric pressure, wind patterns, moisture availability and the movement of weather systems.<\/p>

For the UAE, this means that the presence of El Ni\u00f1o may be one factor considered by meteorologists, but it cannot by itself be used to predict the exact rainfall the country will receive.<\/p>

Habib therefore stressed the uncertainty surrounding the precise amount of precipitation expected in the coming months.<\/p>

UAE moves towards cooler weather<\/h2>

The latest reading of 18.6\u00b0C in Raknah represents another step in the UAE’s gradual transition towards cooler conditions.<\/p>

Although the difference between the current temperatures and those experienced during the height of summer is already noticeable in the early morning, residents will still encounter warm weather during the opening part of autumn.<\/p>

The seasonal change will become more apparent as the weeks pass.<\/p>

Temperatures that can still approach 39\u00b0C at the beginning of autumn are expected to decline towards the low 30s around November.<\/p>

By the end of the season, daytime highs could be around 25\u00b0C, with overnight temperatures potentially falling to approximately 13\u00b0C.<\/p>

This steady decline reflects the UAE’s typical transition from summer heat towards the more moderate conditions associated with winter.<\/p>

Early mornings likely to become more comfortable<\/h2>

The biggest immediate change for many residents will be felt during the early hours of the day.<\/p>

Morning temperatures have already fallen below 20\u00b0C in some locations, and further reductions are expected as autumn progresses.<\/p>

People heading to work or school early in the morning may begin to notice the difference before the afternoon heat returns.<\/p>

Outdoor activities that are difficult during the peak summer months are also expected to become increasingly comfortable as temperatures moderate.<\/p>

The cooler mornings are likely to be followed by warmer afternoons during the first part of autumn, creating a wider temperature difference between different parts of the day.<\/p>

Fog could affect visibility<\/h2>

The increase in humidity and lower temperatures also means that fog will remain an important weather feature to monitor.<\/p>

Fog is particularly relevant to motorists because it can reduce visibility significantly, especially before sunrise.<\/p>

Drivers may encounter rapidly changing conditions when travelling through areas affected by early-morning fog.<\/p>

Motorists are generally advised to reduce speed and maintain a safe distance from other vehicles when visibility becomes poor.<\/p>

The likelihood of fog is expected to increase as the season progresses and atmospheric conditions become more favourable for its formation.<\/p>

Rainfall remains difficult to predict precisely<\/h2>

While the outlook suggests that the UAE could experience above-average rainfall from October through January, the exact timing and intensity of individual rain events remain uncertain.<\/p>

Longer-range forecasts can identify broad seasonal trends, but they cannot reliably determine the exact location, duration or amount of rainfall months in advance.<\/p>

This is why meteorologists continue to monitor weather models and atmospheric developments as each period approaches.<\/p>

Residents should therefore distinguish between a seasonal forecast suggesting increased rainfall potential and a specific prediction of a particular storm or rainfall event.<\/p>

The former provides a general outlook, while the latter requires more detailed short-term forecasting.<\/p>

Autumn brings several weather changes<\/h2>

The arrival of autumn represents more than simply a reduction in temperature.<\/p>

For the UAE, the season brings a gradual combination of cooler mornings, increasing humidity, greater fog potential and a possibility of more rainfall.<\/p>

These changes develop progressively rather than occurring at the same time across the country.<\/p>

Mountainous and inland areas can experience cooler conditions than coastal locations, while humidity tends to be more noticeable near the coast.<\/p>

The latest reading from Raknah in Al Ain illustrates the difference that can occur in inland areas during the early morning.<\/p>

From summer heat to winter conditions<\/h2>

The UAE’s transition between seasons can be particularly noticeable because of the contrast between summer and winter.<\/p>

During the hottest months, temperatures can remain extremely high, making outdoor activities uncomfortable for much of the day.<\/p>

As autumn arrives, temperatures begin to moderate.<\/p>

The initial change may seem relatively small, with only early-morning readings falling significantly.<\/p>

However, by November and December, the difference becomes much more pronounced.<\/p>

The expected decline from highs around 39\u00b0C at the start of autumn to approximately 25\u00b0C by the end of the season demonstrates the scale of the seasonal shift.<\/p>

December marks another important milestone<\/h2>

The winter solstice on December 22 will mark another stage in the seasonal transition.<\/p>

By this time, temperatures are expected to be considerably lower than they were at the beginning of autumn.<\/p>

Forecast seasonal averages indicate that temperatures could fall to around 13\u00b0C at their lowest towards the end of the season.<\/p>

For residents, this is typically when the UAE’s cooler weather becomes most noticeable, particularly during the early morning and late evening.<\/p>

The shift also coincides with the period when outdoor events, tourism and recreational activities become more popular due to the more comfortable climate.<\/p>

What residents can expect in the coming weeks<\/h2>

The immediate outlook points towards a gradual rather than sudden change.<\/p>

Warm weather will remain a feature of the UAE during the early part of autumn, particularly in the afternoon.<\/p>

At the same time, mornings are expected to continue becoming cooler.<\/p>

Humidity levels are likely to increase, creating favourable conditions for fog in some areas.<\/p>

Rainfall could also become more frequent from October onwards, although the exact distribution and amount will depend on the weather systems that develop.<\/p>

By November, the difference between daytime and nighttime temperatures should become more noticeable.<\/p>

The approach of December will bring the country closer to its coolest period of the year.<\/p>

Seasonal change already visible<\/h2>

The 18.6\u00b0C reading recorded in Raknah is another indication that the UAE’s weather is beginning its annual transition.<\/p>

The country had already experienced a minimum of 18.8\u00b0C on September 18, demonstrating that cooler temperatures can arrive even before the official astronomical start of autumn.<\/p>

The latest reading came just days after the September 23 equinox, when the Northern Hemisphere officially entered the autumn season from an astronomical perspective.<\/p>

While these early readings do not mean that summer-like temperatures have disappeared, they show that cooler conditions are beginning to emerge in parts of the UAE.<\/p>

Rain outlook adds another dimension<\/h2>

The possibility of above-average rainfall between October and January adds another element to the seasonal outlook.<\/p>

If the forecast trend materialises, residents could see more wet-weather episodes during the cooler months than in some previous years.<\/p>

However, the NCM has emphasised that the exact rainfall total cannot be known with certainty at this stage.<\/p>

Weather models may change as new data becomes available, meaning the outlook can be refined as the season progresses.<\/p>

The influence of broader climate patterns such as El Ni\u00f1o will also continue to be monitored by meteorologists.<\/p>

El Ni\u00f1o and UAE weather<\/h2>

El Ni\u00f1o is one of the major climate patterns considered by scientists when assessing global weather trends.<\/p>

It occurs when sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific become warmer than normal.<\/p>

The resulting changes in atmospheric circulation can affect weather patterns in distant parts of the world.<\/p>

However, the effects differ from one region to another and can vary from one El Ni\u00f1o event to another.<\/p>

For that reason, the presence of El Ni\u00f1o should not be treated as a guarantee that the UAE will experience unusually heavy rain or extreme weather.<\/p>

Instead, it is one factor among many that meteorologists consider when developing broader seasonal outlooks.<\/p>

Cooler season gradually takes hold<\/h2>

The UAE is now entering a period of progressive weather change.<\/p>

Temperatures are already beginning to fall during the early morning, with Raknah recording 18.6\u00b0C at 6am on September 28.<\/p>

The decline is expected to continue as autumn develops, although the season will begin with plenty of warmth.<\/p>

By early November, highs are expected to be closer to 31\u00b0C, while minimum temperatures could reach around 18\u00b0C.<\/p>

Later in the season, maximum temperatures could fall to approximately 25\u00b0C and minimum readings could reach around 13\u00b0C.<\/p>

At the same time, increased humidity and the possibility of morning fog will become more familiar features.<\/p>

UAE residents can look forward to cooler days<\/h2>

For residents who have been waiting for a break from the summer heat, the latest readings offer an early indication that cooler weather is on its way.<\/p>

The seasonal transition will happen gradually, with noticeable differences developing first in the mornings before becoming more widespread throughout the day.<\/p>

The possibility of additional rainfall from October onwards could further change the character of the weather.<\/p>

While meteorologists are monitoring forecasts that suggest precipitation may be above average through January, they have also stressed that precise rainfall totals cannot yet be determined.<\/p>

For now, the UAE’s weather is entering a transitional phase: cooler mornings are emerging, humidity is increasing, fog becomes more likely, and the prospect of more rain is growing.<\/p>

The coming weeks are expected to bring a steady shift away from summer conditions and towards the cooler, wetter period that typically defines the UAE’s autumn and winter months.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t

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Cooler conditions are beginning to settle across the UAE as autumn arrives, with temperatures falling to a low of 18.6\u00b0C, signalling a noticeable shift toward milder weather following the warmer months experienced across the country.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48324,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"pmpro_default_level":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"post_template":[],"top_category":[],"class_list":["post-48560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uae","pmpro-has-access"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48560"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48565,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48560\/revisions\/48565"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48560"},{"taxonomy":"post_template","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_template?post=48560"},{"taxonomy":"top_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/insider18.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/top_category?post=48560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}